Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, 13–15 July 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0.0% | 24.7% | 22.6–27.1% | 21.9–27.7% | 21.4–28.3% | 20.4–29.5% |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0.0% | 20.4% | 18.4–22.6% | 17.8–23.3% | 17.4–23.8% | 16.5–24.9% |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0.0% | 9.8% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.0–12.0% | 7.7–12.4% | 7.0–13.3% |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 9.5% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.7–11.6% | 7.4–12.1% | 6.8–12.9% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 8.3% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.6–10.4% | 6.3–10.8% | 5.8–11.6% |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) | 0.0% | 6.0% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.6–7.8% | 4.3–8.2% | 3.9–8.9% |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0.0% | 4.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.0–5.7% | 2.8–6.1% | 2.5–6.7% |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.4% | 1.9–4.7% | 1.6–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gibanje Svoboda (RE) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Demokrati (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Resni.ca (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 96% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 27% | 100% | |
| 3 | 72% | 73% | Median |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.4% | 99.5% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Levica (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.8% | 98.9% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 35% | 35% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Demokrati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Resni.ca (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levica (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Socialni demokrati (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Levica (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.8% | 98.9% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.4% | 99.5% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 35% | 35% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ninamedia
- Commissioner(s): Dnevnik
- Fieldwork period: 13–15 July 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 603
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.38%