Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, 10–12 August 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 26.4% 24.4–28.7% 23.8–29.3% 23.3–29.8% 22.3–30.9%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 20.7% 18.9–22.8% 18.3–23.4% 17.9–23.9% 17.0–24.9%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 10.1% 8.8–11.8% 8.4–12.2% 8.1–12.6% 7.5–13.4%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.3% 5.2–7.6% 5.0–8.0% 4.7–8.3% 4.3–9.0%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0.0% 6.0% 5.0–7.3% 4.7–7.7% 4.5–8.0% 4.0–8.7%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.9% 4.9–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.3–7.9% 3.9–8.5%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.4% 3.6–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.1–6.2% 2.8–6.8%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.3% 2.6–4.3% 2.4–4.6% 2.2–4.9% 1.9–5.4%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 3.1% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.5% 2.1–4.7% 1.8–5.3%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.7% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.2% 1.5–4.7%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–3.9% 1.3–4.4%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3% 1.3–3.5% 1.1–4.0%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 1.9% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.2% 0.9–3.6%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.8–2.6% 0.6–3.0%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.2% 0.4–2.6%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7% 0.2–2.0%
Stranka generacij (*) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.1–1.6%
Nič od tega (*) 0.0% 0.1% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nič od tega (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 95% 95% Median
5 0% 0% Majority

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.5% 100%  
3 19% 98.5%  
4 79% 79% Median
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.9% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 18% 18%  
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nič od tega (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nič od tega (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–1 0–1
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.9% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 18% 18%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations