Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP, 17–20 August 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 27.3% 25.0–29.8% 24.4–30.5% 23.8–31.1% 22.8–32.3%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 22.2% 20.1–24.6% 19.5–25.3% 19.0–25.8% 18.0–27.0%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.2% 6.9–9.9% 6.6–10.4% 6.2–10.8% 5.7–11.6%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.0% 5.8–8.6% 5.5–9.0% 5.2–9.4% 4.7–10.2%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0.0% 6.5% 5.3–8.0% 5.0–8.4% 4.7–8.8% 4.2–9.6%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.4% 4.4–6.8% 4.1–7.3% 3.9–7.6% 3.4–8.4%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 5.4% 4.4–6.8% 4.1–7.3% 3.9–7.6% 3.4–8.4%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.0% 3.2–5.3% 2.9–5.7% 2.7–6.0% 2.3–6.6%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 2.8% 2.1–3.9% 1.9–4.2% 1.7–4.5% 1.4–5.1%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.8% 2.1–3.9% 1.9–4.2% 1.7–4.5% 1.4–5.1%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.8% 2.1–3.9% 1.9–4.2% 1.7–4.5% 1.4–5.1%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–4.0% 1.6–4.3% 1.3–4.9%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.4% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.5% 0.7–2.7% 0.5–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 56% 100% Median
4 44% 44%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 4% 100%  
3 81% 96% Median
4 15% 15%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 90% 90% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 51% 51% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 79% 79% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 17% 17%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100% Last Result
1 79% 83% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 17% 17%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 90% 90% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations