Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, 7–10 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 24.1% 22.2–26.3% 21.6–26.9% 21.1–27.4% 20.2–28.4%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 22.5% 20.5–24.6% 20.0–25.1% 19.6–25.7% 18.7–26.7%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 9.6% 8.3–11.2% 8.0–11.6% 7.7–12.0% 7.1–12.8%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0.0% 6.6% 5.5–7.9% 5.2–8.3% 5.0–8.6% 4.5–9.3%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.3% 5.2–7.6% 5.0–8.0% 4.7–8.3% 4.3–9.0%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.1% 5.1–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.6–8.1% 4.2–8.8%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.5% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.9% 3.2–6.2% 2.8–6.8%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.8–5.8% 2.5–6.3%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.8% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.2% 2.6–5.4% 2.3–6.0%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 3.8% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.2% 2.6–5.4% 2.3–6.0%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.5–3.8% 1.2–4.3%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–2.9% 0.8–3.3%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.7–2.4% 0.5–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.3% 100%  
3 84% 99.7% Median
4 16% 16%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.4% 100%  
3 86% 99.6% Median
4 13% 13%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.1% 99.6% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100% Last Result
1 87% 87% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 32% 100% Last Result
1 68% 68% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 15% 15%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.1% 99.6% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 15% 15%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100% Last Result
1 86% 87% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

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