Opinion Poll by IJEK for Utrip Družbe, 1–18 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 24.0% 21.9–26.2% 21.3–26.8% 20.8–27.4% 19.9–28.5%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 21.6% 19.6–23.8% 19.1–24.4% 18.6–25.0% 17.7–26.0%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 9.5% 8.2–11.1% 7.8–11.6% 7.5–12.0% 6.9–12.8%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 8.7% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.7% 6.8–11.2% 6.2–11.9%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0.0% 6.4% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.2% 4.7–8.6% 4.3–9.3%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.3% 4.1–7.7% 3.6–8.4%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 4.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.3% 3.3–6.6% 2.9–7.2%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 3.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.8–5.4% 2.7–5.7% 2.3–6.3%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.6% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.4–5.3% 2.1–5.9%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.4% 2.7–4.5% 2.4–4.8% 2.3–5.1% 2.0–5.7%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.0% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.6% 1.6–5.1%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.2% 1.2–3.4% 1.0–3.9%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.2% 0.4–2.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–4
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 3 2–3 2–4 2–4 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 4% 100%  
3 82% 96% Median
4 14% 14%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 17% 100%  
3 76% 83% Median
4 7% 7%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 99.2% 99.3% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 96% 97% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 80% 80% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 99.2% 99.3% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 96% 97% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 81% 81% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations