Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 21–24 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 26.0% 23.7–28.5% 23.1–29.2% 22.5–29.8% 21.5–31.0%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 23.5% 21.3–25.9% 20.7–26.6% 20.1–27.2% 19.1–28.4%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 8.8% 7.4–10.5% 7.0–11.0% 6.7–11.4% 6.1–12.3%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.9% 6.6–9.5% 6.2–10.0% 5.9–10.4% 5.4–11.3%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0.0% 6.8% 5.6–8.4% 5.3–8.8% 5.0–9.2% 4.5–10.0%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.7% 4.6–7.2% 4.3–7.6% 4.1–8.0% 3.6–8.7%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 5.4% 4.3–6.8% 4.0–7.2% 3.8–7.6% 3.3–8.3%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 3.8% 2.9–5.0% 2.7–5.4% 2.5–5.7% 2.1–6.4%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.6% 2.8–4.8% 2.5–5.2% 2.3–5.5% 2.0–6.1%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 2.2% 1.5–3.2% 1.4–3.5% 1.2–3.7% 1.0–4.3%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.4–3.0% 1.2–3.2% 1.1–3.5% 0.9–4.0%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.3% 0.8–2.6% 0.7–2.8% 0.5–3.3%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.9% 0.6–2.1% 0.5–2.3% 0.4–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 3 3–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.2% 100%  
3 76% 99.8% Median
4 24% 24%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 6% 100%  
3 81% 94% Median
4 13% 13%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 80% 80% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100% Last Result
1 87% 87% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100% Last Result
1 83% 83% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 14% 14%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Levica (GUE/NGL)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100% Last Result
1 87% 87% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100% Last Result
1 83% 83% Median
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 80% 80% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations