Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, 12–14 October 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 23.0% 21.0–25.1% 20.5–25.7% 20.0–26.3% 19.1–27.3%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 22.0% 20.1–24.1% 19.5–24.7% 19.1–25.2% 18.2–26.3%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 11.4% 10.0–13.1% 9.6–13.6% 9.3–14.0% 8.6–14.8%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 11.1% 9.7–12.8% 9.4–13.3% 9.0–13.7% 8.4–14.5%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 8.9% 7.6–10.4% 7.3–10.8% 7.0–11.2% 6.4–12.0%
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0.0% 6.4% 5.4–7.8% 5.1–8.2% 4.8–8.5% 4.4–9.2%
Demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 3.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.7–5.6% 2.3–6.1%
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–3.9% 1.3–4.4%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.2–3.3% 1.0–3.8%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 1.9% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.2% 0.9–3.6%
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.8–2.6% 0.6–3.0%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.8–2.6% 0.6–3.0%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.2% 0.4–2.6%
Stranka generacij (*) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7% 0.2–2.0%
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7% 0.2–2.0%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.1–1.6%
Nič od tega (*) 0.0% 0.1% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–1.1%
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0.0% 0.1% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mi, socialisti! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka generacij (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nič od tega (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Zeleni Slovenije (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 24% 100%  
3 76% 76% Median
4 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 60% 100% Median
3 39% 40%  
4 1.2% 1.2%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98.5% 100% Median
2 1.4% 1.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 100% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100% Last Result
1 98.7% 98.7% Median
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 82% 82% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mi, socialisti! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi, socialisti! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka generacij (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka generacij (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the FOKUS – za Slovenijo s ciljem (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nič od tega (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nič od tega (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Zeleni Slovenije (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zeleni Slovenije (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 100% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98.5% 100% Median
2 1.4% 1.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka (NI) – Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 82% 82% Median
2 0% 0%  

Prerod – Stranka Vladimirja Prebiliča (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations