Opinion Poll by Маркет ЛИНКС for bTV, 13–21 June 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (NI) 0.0% 47.2% 45.0–49.4% 44.3–50.0% 43.8–50.6% 42.8–51.7%
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 15.8% 14.3–17.6% 13.9–18.1% 13.5–18.5% 12.8–19.3%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 8.5% 7.4–9.9% 7.1–10.3% 6.8–10.6% 6.3–11.3%
Движение за права и свободи (NI) 0.0% 5.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.4% 4.5–7.7% 4.1–8.3%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.7–6.8% 3.4–7.3%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.2% 2.4–4.5% 2.2–4.7% 2.0–5.2%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.2% 1.7–3.5% 1.6–3.7% 1.3–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (NI) 0 9 8–9 8–9 8–9 7–10
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 1–3 1–3
Движение за права и свободи (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Възраждане (ESN) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Да, България! (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Прогресивна България (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Прогресивна България (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 1.0% 100%  
8 44% 99.0%  
9 53% 55% Median, Majority
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0%  

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 5% 100%  
3 93% 95% Median
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 78% 97% Median
3 18% 18%  
4 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 53% 54% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 14% 14%  
2 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Last Result, Median
1 48% 48%  
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 14% 14%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations