Да, България! (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 3.5% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.4–4.8% | 2.1–5.3% |
20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.2–5.1% |
10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.4% |
11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
3.4% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.5–4.6% | 2.3–4.9% | 2.0–5.4% |
8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.2–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 3.8% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% | 2.7–5.4% | 2.4–5.9% |
25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
3.8% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.5–5.6% |
17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
3.9% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
3.5% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.4–5.0% | 2.1–5.5% |
20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС | 3.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Да, България! (EPP).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 4% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 49% | 96% | |
3.5–4.5% | 41% | 47% | Median |
4.5–5.5% | 6% | 6% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Да, България! (EPP).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 27% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 73% | 73% | Median |
2 | 0% | 0% |