Opinion Poll by Маркет ЛИНКС for bTV, 11–19 July 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (NI) 0.0% 47.0% 44.7–49.2% 44.1–49.8% 43.6–50.3% 42.5–51.4%
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 15.3% 13.8–17.0% 13.4–17.5% 13.0–17.9% 12.3–18.7%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 10.4% 9.1–11.9% 8.8–12.3% 8.5–12.7% 7.9–13.4%
Движение за права и свободи (ECR) 0.0% 5.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.0–6.6% 3.8–6.9% 3.5–7.4%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 4.3% 3.5–5.3% 3.3–5.6% 3.1–5.9% 2.8–6.4%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.9% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.2% 2.8–5.5% 2.5–6.0%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 2.0–4.4% 1.8–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (NI) 0 9 8–9 8–9 8–9 8–10
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Движение за права и свободи (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Възраждане (ESN) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Прогресивна България (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Прогресивна България (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 31% 99.8%  
9 68% 68% Median, Majority
10 0.6% 0.6%  
11 0% 0%  

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 7% 100%  
3 92% 93% Median
4 0.8% 0.8%  
5 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 72% 99.8% Median
3 28% 28%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 18% 18%  
2 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 74% 74% Median
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 13% 13%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations