Opinion Poll by Gallup International, 24 July–4 August 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (NI) 0.0% 45.5% 43.2–47.9% 42.6–48.5% 42.0–49.1% 40.9–50.2%
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 13.0% 11.5–14.7% 11.1–15.2% 10.8–15.6% 10.1–16.4%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 8.1% 7.0–9.6% 6.7–10.0% 6.4–10.3% 5.9–11.0%
Движение за права и свободи (ECR) 0.0% 7.5% 6.4–8.9% 6.1–9.2% 5.8–9.6% 5.3–10.3%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 6.8% 5.8–8.1% 5.5–8.5% 5.2–8.9% 4.8–9.5%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 5.1% 4.2–6.3% 4.0–6.6% 3.8–6.9% 3.4–7.5%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 3.8% 3.0–4.9% 2.8–5.2% 2.7–5.4% 2.3–6.0%
Величие (*) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5% 1.5–3.7% 1.3–4.2%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.4–3.6% 1.2–4.0%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.3% 0.1–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (NI) 0 9 9–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Движение за права и свободи (ECR) 0 2 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Демократична България (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Възраждане (ESN) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Прогресивна България (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Прогресивна България (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 6% 100%  
9 62% 94% Median, Majority
10 32% 32%  
11 0.7% 0.7%  
12 0% 0%  

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 26% 100%  
3 73% 74% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 15% 100%  
2 83% 85% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 33% 94%  
2 61% 61% Median
3 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 77% 100% Median
2 23% 23%  
3 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 17% 18%  
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 17% 18%  
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations