Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 22–29 September 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
20.4% |
19.3–21.5% |
19.0–21.9% |
18.7–22.1% |
18.2–22.7% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
14.4% |
13.5–15.4% |
13.2–15.7% |
13.0–15.9% |
12.5–16.4% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
2.9% |
11.7% |
10.9–12.6% |
10.6–12.9% |
10.4–13.1% |
10.0–13.6% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
9.9% |
9.1–10.8% |
8.9–11.0% |
8.7–11.2% |
8.3–11.7% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
8.7% |
7.9–9.5% |
7.7–9.8% |
7.6–10.0% |
7.2–10.4% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.4% |
7.7–9.2% |
7.5–9.4% |
7.3–9.7% |
7.0–10.1% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
7.3% |
6.6–8.1% |
6.4–8.3% |
6.3–8.5% |
5.9–8.9% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.1% |
4.5–5.8% |
4.4–6.0% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.0–6.5% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
4.8% |
4.2–5.4% |
4.1–5.6% |
3.9–5.8% |
3.7–6.1% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.1% |
3.6–4.7% |
3.4–4.9% |
3.3–5.0% |
3.1–5.3% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.2% |
2.2–3.4% |
2.1–3.5% |
1.9–3.7% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.5% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.3–2.9% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0–0.2% |
0.0–0.2% |
0.0–0.3% |
0.0–0.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
83% |
99.7% |
Median |
5 |
17% |
17% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
3% |
100% |
|
3 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
4 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
3% |
3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
30% |
100% |
|
2 |
70% |
70% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
98% |
98% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
91% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
9% |
9% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
83% |
99.7% |
Median |
5 |
17% |
17% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
3% |
100% |
|
3 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
4 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
4% |
4% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
30% |
100% |
|
2 |
70% |
70% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
91% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
9% |
9% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): DR
- Fieldwork period: 22–29 September 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 2154
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.89%