Liberal Alliance (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 13.0% | 11.8–14.2% | 11.5–14.6% | 11.2–14.9% | 10.6–15.5% |
| 11–17 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 12.7% | 11.5–14.1% | 11.1–14.5% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.3–15.6% |
| 4–10 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 13.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 12.9% | 11.7–14.2% | 11.4–14.6% | 11.1–14.9% | 10.6–15.5% |
| 21–27 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 13.3% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.5% | 10.7–16.3% |
| 14–21 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 12.5% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.0–15.4% |
| 7–13 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.8–15.3% | 11.5–15.7% | 10.9–16.4% |
| 23–30 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 11.6% | 10.3–13.0% | 10.0–13.4% | 9.7–13.7% | 9.2–14.4% |
| 20–27 September 2024 | Epinion DR |
13.0% | 12.0–14.1% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.8% | 11.0–15.3% |
| 16–22 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 12.1% | 10.9–13.6% | 10.5–14.0% | 10.3–14.3% | 9.7–15.0% |
| 9–15 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 13.0% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 11.0–15.2% | 10.4–15.9% |
| 4–10 September 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
13.2% | 12.1–14.4% | 11.8–14.8% | 11.6–15.1% | 11.1–15.7% |
| 2–8 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.6–14.8% |
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.6–14.8% |
| 19–25 August 2024 | Voxmeter | 11.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.4–12.7% | 9.2–13.0% | 8.6–13.7% |
| 12–18 August 2024 | Voxmeter | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–14 August 2024 | Epinion DR |
12.8% | 11.9–13.8% | 11.6–14.1% | 11.4–14.3% | 10.9–14.8% |
| 5–11 August 2024 | Voxmeter | 11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 17–23 June 2024 | Voxmeter | 13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.5–15.0% | 11.2–15.3% | 10.6–16.1% |
| 10–16 June 2024 | Voxmeter | 13.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 June 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
13.2% | 12.1–14.5% | 11.7–14.8% | 11.4–15.2% | 10.9–15.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Liberal Alliance (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 24% | 94% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 41% | 70% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 24% | 29% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 11–17 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 4–10 November 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 28 October–3 November 2024 | Voxmeter | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 21–27 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 14–21 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 7–13 October 2024 | Voxmeter | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 23–30 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| 20–27 September 2024 | Epinion DR |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 16–22 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| 9–15 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 4–10 September 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 2–8 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 26 August–1 September 2024 | Voxmeter | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 19–25 August 2024 | Voxmeter | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 12–18 August 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 7–14 August 2024 | Epinion DR |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 5–11 August 2024 | Voxmeter | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 17–23 June 2024 | Voxmeter | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 10–16 June 2024 | Voxmeter | |||||
| 10–12 June 2024 | Verian Berlingske |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Liberal Alliance (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 94% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 6% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |