Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 25 September–1 October 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
22.7% |
21.1–24.5% |
20.7–25.0% |
20.3–25.4% |
19.5–26.3% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
12.8% |
11.6–14.3% |
11.2–14.7% |
10.9–15.0% |
10.3–15.7% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
2.9% |
12.3% |
11.1–13.7% |
10.8–14.1% |
10.5–14.5% |
9.9–15.2% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
10.3% |
9.2–11.6% |
8.9–12.0% |
8.6–12.3% |
8.1–13.0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
9.1% |
8.1–10.4% |
7.8–10.7% |
7.5–11.1% |
7.0–11.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.5% |
6.5–8.6% |
6.2–9.0% |
6.0–9.3% |
5.6–9.8% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
7.1% |
6.2–8.2% |
5.9–8.6% |
5.7–8.8% |
5.3–9.4% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.2% |
4.5–6.2% |
4.2–6.5% |
4.0–6.8% |
3.7–7.3% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.2% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–5.9% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.4–5.5% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.6% |
2.1–3.8% |
2.0–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.9% |
1.5–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
24% |
100% |
|
5 |
76% |
76% |
Median |
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
70% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
30% |
30% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
2 |
95% |
99.6% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
19% |
100% |
|
2 |
81% |
81% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
6% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
97% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
5% |
5% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.5% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–4 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
24% |
100% |
|
5 |
76% |
76% |
Median |
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
70% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
30% |
30% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
15% |
100% |
|
3 |
84% |
85% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
6% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.5% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 25 September–1 October 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1029
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.44%