Opinion Poll by Gallup for Berlingske, 3 October 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
22.2% |
21.0–23.5% |
20.7–23.9% |
20.4–24.2% |
19.8–24.8% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
13.5% |
12.5–14.6% |
12.2–14.9% |
12.0–15.2% |
11.5–15.7% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
2.9% |
11.2% |
10.3–12.2% |
10.1–12.5% |
9.8–12.8% |
9.4–13.3% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
9.7% |
8.9–10.7% |
8.6–10.9% |
8.4–11.2% |
8.0–11.7% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
8.6% |
7.8–9.5% |
7.6–9.8% |
7.4–10.0% |
7.0–10.5% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.6% |
7.8–9.5% |
7.6–9.8% |
7.4–10.0% |
7.0–10.5% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.2% |
6.5–8.1% |
6.3–8.3% |
6.1–8.5% |
5.8–8.9% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.6% |
5.0–6.4% |
4.8–6.6% |
4.6–6.8% |
4.3–7.2% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
4.1% |
3.6–4.8% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.3–5.1% |
3.0–5.5% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
3.6% |
3.1–4.3% |
3.0–4.4% |
2.8–4.6% |
2.6–4.9% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.3% |
1.9–2.8% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.7–3.1% |
1.5–3.4% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.9% |
1.5–2.4% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.4–2.6% |
1.2–2.9% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
13% |
100% |
|
5 |
86% |
87% |
Median |
6 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
66% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
34% |
34% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
5% |
100% |
|
2 |
89% |
95% |
Median |
3 |
6% |
6% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
35% |
100% |
|
2 |
65% |
65% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.5% |
99.5% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
93% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
7% |
7% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.2% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
5 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–6 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
13% |
100% |
|
5 |
86% |
87% |
Median |
6 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
66% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
34% |
34% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
31% |
100% |
|
3 |
69% |
69% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
93% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
7% |
7% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Gallup
- Commissioner(s): Berlingske
- Fieldwork period: 3 October 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1800
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.56%