Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 8–15 November 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
18.2% |
17.2–19.3% |
16.9–19.6% |
16.7–19.9% |
16.2–20.4% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
14.6% |
13.7–15.6% |
13.4–15.9% |
13.2–16.1% |
12.8–16.6% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
2.9% |
13.1% |
12.2–14.0% |
12.0–14.3% |
11.8–14.5% |
11.3–15.0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
10.5% |
9.7–11.4% |
9.5–11.6% |
9.3–11.9% |
8.9–12.3% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.3% |
7.6–9.1% |
7.4–9.3% |
7.2–9.5% |
6.9–9.9% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
8.3% |
7.6–9.1% |
7.4–9.3% |
7.2–9.5% |
6.9–9.9% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
6.9% |
6.2–7.6% |
6.1–7.8% |
5.9–8.0% |
5.6–8.4% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.7% |
5.1–6.4% |
5.0–6.6% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.1% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.3% |
3.8–4.9% |
3.6–5.1% |
3.5–5.2% |
3.3–5.5% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
3.8% |
3.3–4.4% |
3.2–4.5% |
3.1–4.7% |
2.9–5.0% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.4–3.3% |
2.3–3.4% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.0–3.8% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.2% |
1.9–2.7% |
1.8–2.8% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.5–3.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
10% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
90% |
90% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
3 |
99.4% |
99.4% |
Median |
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
87% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
13% |
13% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
8% |
100% |
|
2 |
92% |
92% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
5% |
5% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2–3 |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
10% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
90% |
90% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
3 |
99.4% |
99.4% |
Median |
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
95% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
5% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
8% |
100% |
|
2 |
92% |
92% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): DR
- Fieldwork period: 8–15 November 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 2262
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.83%