Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 11–17 December 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
21.3% |
19.7–23.0% |
19.3–23.5% |
18.9–23.9% |
18.1–24.8% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
13.0% |
11.7–14.4% |
11.4–14.9% |
11.1–15.2% |
10.5–15.9% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
2.9% |
11.9% |
10.7–13.3% |
10.4–13.7% |
10.1–14.1% |
9.5–14.8% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
11.3% |
10.1–12.7% |
9.8–13.1% |
9.5–13.4% |
9.0–14.1% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.4% |
7.3–9.6% |
7.1–9.9% |
6.8–10.2% |
6.4–10.9% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.4% |
6.4–8.6% |
6.2–8.9% |
5.9–9.2% |
5.5–9.8% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
6.0% |
5.2–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.7% |
4.3–8.2% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.3% |
4.3–6.6% |
4.1–6.9% |
3.7–7.4% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.3% |
4.3–6.6% |
4.1–6.9% |
3.7–7.4% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.3% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.8% |
2.9–6.3% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.0–3.8% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.4% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.8–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
65% |
99.5% |
Median |
5 |
34% |
34% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
76% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
24% |
24% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
93% |
97% |
Median |
3 |
3% |
3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
16% |
100% |
|
2 |
83% |
84% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.8% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.9% |
99.2% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
10% |
100% |
|
1 |
90% |
90% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
37% |
100% |
|
1 |
63% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
89% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
11% |
11% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.7% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
3–5 |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3–4 |
2–4 |
2–4 |
2–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
65% |
99.5% |
Median |
5 |
34% |
34% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
6% |
100% |
|
3 |
49% |
94% |
Last Result |
4 |
46% |
46% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
76% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
24% |
24% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.8% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.9% |
99.2% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
89% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
11% |
11% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–17 December 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1015
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.58%