Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 14–21 January 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
22.7% |
21.1–24.5% |
20.7–25.0% |
20.3–25.4% |
19.5–26.3% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
2.9% |
13.6% |
12.3–15.1% |
11.9–15.5% |
11.6–15.8% |
11.0–16.6% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
13.0% |
11.7–14.4% |
11.4–14.8% |
11.1–15.2% |
10.5–15.9% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
10.0% |
8.9–11.4% |
8.6–11.7% |
8.3–12.1% |
7.8–12.7% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.3% |
7.3–9.5% |
7.0–9.8% |
6.7–10.1% |
6.3–10.7% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) |
0.0% |
8.2% |
7.2–9.4% |
6.9–9.7% |
6.6–10.0% |
6.2–10.6% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
6.1% |
5.2–7.2% |
5.0–7.5% |
4.8–7.8% |
4.4–8.3% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.6–7.1% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.1–7.8% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.7% |
4.0–5.7% |
3.7–6.0% |
3.6–6.2% |
3.2–6.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.2–5.2% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.6% |
2.1–3.9% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.8–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
66% |
99.7% |
Median |
5 |
34% |
34% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
91% |
99.8% |
Median |
3 |
9% |
9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
61% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
39% |
39% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
24% |
100% |
|
2 |
76% |
76% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.3% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (NI) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
|
1 |
94% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
52% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
48% |
48% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.2% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
66% |
99.7% |
Median |
5 |
34% |
34% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
77% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
23% |
23% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
60% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
40% |
40% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.3% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 14–21 January 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1016
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.85%