Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 19–25 February 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
22.2% |
20.6–23.9% |
20.1–24.4% |
19.7–24.9% |
19.0–25.7% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
2.9% |
14.4% |
13.0–15.9% |
12.7–16.3% |
12.3–16.7% |
11.7–17.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
13.9% |
12.6–15.4% |
12.2–15.8% |
11.9–16.2% |
11.3–16.9% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
10.5% |
9.3–11.8% |
9.0–12.2% |
8.7–12.5% |
8.2–13.2% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0.0% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.5% |
6.5–9.8% |
6.0–10.5% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
7.8% |
6.8–9.0% |
6.5–9.3% |
6.3–9.6% |
5.8–10.2% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.1% |
6.1–8.2% |
5.9–8.6% |
5.7–8.9% |
5.2–9.4% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.0% |
4.0–6.3% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.5–7.0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.6–6.2% |
3.2–6.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.4% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.2–2.7% |
1.1–2.8% |
1.0–3.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
91% |
95% |
Median |
5 |
4% |
4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
40% |
100% |
|
3 |
60% |
60% |
Median |
4 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
64% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
36% |
36% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
5% |
100% |
|
2 |
90% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
5% |
5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
91% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
9% |
9% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.5% |
99.5% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
62% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
38% |
38% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
43% |
100% |
|
1 |
57% |
57% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
3–4 |
3–5 |
3–5 |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
91% |
95% |
Median |
5 |
4% |
4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
34% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
66% |
66% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
64% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
36% |
36% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.5% |
99.5% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 19–25 February 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.17%