Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Euronews, 23 February–5 March 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
21.0% |
19.4–22.7% |
19.0–23.2% |
18.6–23.6% |
17.8–24.5% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
2.9% |
13.0% |
11.7–14.5% |
11.4–14.9% |
11.1–15.2% |
10.5–16.0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
12.0% |
10.8–13.4% |
10.4–13.8% |
10.1–14.2% |
9.6–14.9% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
10.5% |
9.3–11.8% |
9.0–12.2% |
8.7–12.6% |
8.2–13.2% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0.0% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.7% |
7.2–10.1% |
6.9–10.4% |
6.4–11.0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.6% |
6.5–9.9% |
6.0–10.5% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.2% |
5.8–8.5% |
5.6–8.8% |
5.2–9.3% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.7% |
4.3–8.2% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.7% |
4.3–8.2% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.0% |
4.0–6.3% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.5–7.1% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
8% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
91% |
92% |
Median |
5 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
2 |
96% |
99.6% |
Median |
3 |
3% |
3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.8% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
98% |
99.2% |
Median |
3 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
7% |
100% |
|
2 |
93% |
93% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.6% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.1% |
99.8% |
Median |
2 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
97% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.9% |
98.9% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
88% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
12% |
12% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
92% |
93% |
Median |
5 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
8% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
91% |
92% |
Median |
5 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.8% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
98% |
99.2% |
Median |
3 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.6% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
88% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
12% |
12% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Euronews
- Fieldwork period: 23 February–5 March 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.03%