Opinion Poll by Epinion for Altinget and DR, 6–13 March 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
24.0% |
22.4–25.7% |
21.9–26.2% |
21.5–26.7% |
20.8–27.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
13.0% |
11.8–14.4% |
11.4–14.8% |
11.1–15.2% |
10.6–15.9% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
11.0% |
9.8–12.3% |
9.5–12.7% |
9.2–13.0% |
8.7–13.7% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0.0% |
9.0% |
8.0–10.2% |
7.7–10.6% |
7.5–10.9% |
7.0–11.5% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
2.9% |
9.0% |
8.0–10.2% |
7.7–10.6% |
7.5–10.9% |
7.0–11.5% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.8–9.5% |
6.5–9.8% |
6.1–10.4% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.1% |
5.8–8.4% |
5.6–8.7% |
5.2–9.2% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.1% |
5.8–8.4% |
5.6–8.7% |
5.2–9.2% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
5.0% |
4.3–6.0% |
4.0–6.3% |
3.9–6.5% |
3.5–7.0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.1% |
3.0–5.3% |
2.7–5.8% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.2–4.0% |
2.1–4.2% |
1.9–4.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
73% |
99.9% |
Median |
5 |
27% |
27% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
99.1% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
98.7% |
98.9% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
76% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
24% |
24% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
98.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
11% |
100% |
|
1 |
89% |
89% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
34% |
100% |
|
1 |
66% |
66% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
4–5 |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
73% |
99.9% |
Median |
5 |
27% |
27% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
11% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
89% |
89% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
99.1% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
96% |
96% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): Altinget and DR
- Fieldwork period: 6–13 March 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1075
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.32%