Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 24 March 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 19.1% 20.2% 19.0–21.4% 18.7–21.7% 18.4–22.0% 17.9–22.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 10.9% 14.5% 13.5–15.6% 13.3–15.9% 13.0–16.1% 12.6–16.7%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 2.9% 13.3% 12.4–14.3% 12.1–14.6% 11.9–14.9% 11.4–15.4%
Venstre (RE) 16.7% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.8%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 9.6% 8.8–10.5% 8.6–10.7% 8.4–11.0% 8.0–11.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 9.1% 7.9% 7.1–8.7% 6.9–8.9% 6.8–9.1% 6.4–9.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.9% 6.2–7.6% 6.0–7.9% 5.8–8.1% 5.5–8.4%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 5.4% 4.8–6.2% 4.7–6.4% 4.5–6.5% 4.3–6.9%
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 26.6% 4.5% 4.0–5.2% 3.8–5.4% 3.7–5.5% 3.5–5.9%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 6.5% 3.8% 3.3–4.5% 3.2–4.6% 3.1–4.8% 2.8–5.1%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.1% 1.8–2.6% 1.6–2.7% 1.6–2.9% 1.4–3.1%
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.1% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 3 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 1 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) 2 2 2 2 2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 1 1 1 1 1 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 4 0 0 0 0 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 7% 100% Last Result
4 93% 93% Median
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 34% 100%  
3 66% 66% Median
4 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 68% 100% Median
3 32% 32%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 1.2% 100%  
2 98.7% 98.8% Last Result, Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 95% 100% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 98% 100% Last Result, Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 99.9% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 99.9% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (ID)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Median
1 1.3% 1.3%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 2% 2% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 3 4 0% 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 3 3 0% 3 3 3 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 1 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) 4 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 7% 100% Last Result
4 93% 93% Median
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 34% 100%  
3 66% 66% Median
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 95% 100% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 99.9% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (ID)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Median
1 1.3% 1.3%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

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