Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 15–21 April 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
21.8% |
20.2–23.6% |
19.8–24.1% |
19.4–24.5% |
18.6–25.4% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
2.9% |
14.4% |
13.0–15.9% |
12.6–16.3% |
12.3–16.7% |
11.7–17.4% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
14.1% |
12.7–15.6% |
12.4–16.0% |
12.0–16.4% |
11.4–17.1% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0.0% |
10.7% |
9.5–12.0% |
9.2–12.4% |
8.9–12.7% |
8.4–13.4% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
8.9% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.5% |
7.3–10.8% |
6.8–11.4% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
7.8% |
6.8–9.0% |
6.5–9.3% |
6.3–9.6% |
5.8–10.2% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.8% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.6–8.2% |
5.4–8.5% |
5.0–9.1% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.5–6.2% |
3.2–6.7% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.5–6.2% |
3.2–6.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
2.9% |
2.3–3.7% |
2.1–3.9% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.8–4.5% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.2% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
88% |
97% |
Median |
5 |
9% |
9% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
64% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
36% |
36% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
69% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
31% |
31% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
68% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
32% |
32% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
50% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
50% |
50% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
88% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
12% |
12% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
37% |
100% |
|
1 |
63% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
26% |
100% |
|
1 |
74% |
74% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
4–5 |
3–5 |
3–5 |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
88% |
97% |
Median |
5 |
9% |
9% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
65% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
35% |
35% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
69% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
31% |
31% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
68% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
32% |
32% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15–21 April 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.65%