Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 23–29 April 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
19.1% |
20.1% |
19.0–21.3% |
18.6–21.7% |
18.4–21.9% |
17.8–22.5% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
10.9% |
14.6% |
13.6–15.7% |
13.3–16.0% |
13.1–16.2% |
12.6–16.8% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
2.9% |
12.0% |
11.1–13.0% |
10.9–13.3% |
10.6–13.5% |
10.2–14.0% |
Venstre (RE) |
16.7% |
11.2% |
10.3–12.2% |
10.1–12.4% |
9.8–12.7% |
9.4–13.2% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0.0% |
8.1% |
7.3–8.9% |
7.1–9.2% |
7.0–9.4% |
6.6–9.8% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
6.5% |
7.0% |
6.3–7.8% |
6.1–8.0% |
5.9–8.2% |
5.6–8.6% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
6.9% |
6.2–7.7% |
6.0–7.9% |
5.9–8.1% |
5.5–8.5% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
9.1% |
6.8% |
6.1–7.6% |
5.9–7.8% |
5.8–8.0% |
5.5–8.4% |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
26.6% |
6.5% |
5.8–7.3% |
5.6–7.5% |
5.5–7.7% |
5.2–8.1% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
4.5% |
3.9–5.2% |
3.8–5.3% |
3.6–5.5% |
3.4–5.8% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.3% |
1.9–2.8% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.7–3.1% |
1.6–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
12% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
93% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
7% |
7% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
2 |
94% |
99.6% |
Last Result, Median |
3 |
5% |
5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (ID) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
|
1 |
94% |
94% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
90% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
10% |
10% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) |
3 |
3 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
3 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
3–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
1 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Dansk Folkeparti (ID) |
4 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
85% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
15% |
15% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
12% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
93% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
7% |
7% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (ID)
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
|
1 |
94% |
94% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): DR
- Fieldwork period: 23–29 April 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1940
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.37%