Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 10–12 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 17.9% 16.6–19.4% 16.2–19.8% 15.9–20.1% 15.3–20.8%
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 16.9% 15.6–18.3% 15.3–18.7% 15.0–19.1% 14.4–19.8%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 13.2% 12.1–14.5% 11.7–14.8% 11.4–15.2% 10.9–15.8%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 10.7% 9.7–11.9% 9.4–12.2% 9.1–12.5% 8.7–13.1%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 9.9% 8.9–11.1% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.7% 8.0–12.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 6.4% 5.6–7.3% 5.3–7.6% 5.2–7.8% 4.8–8.3%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 6.3% 5.5–7.3% 5.3–7.5% 5.1–7.8% 4.7–8.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.2% 5.4–7.2% 5.2–7.4% 5.0–7.7% 4.7–8.2%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.1–6.6% 3.8–7.0%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 4.4% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.5% 3.4–5.7% 3.1–6.1%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.4% 1.1–1.9% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3 3 3–4 2–4
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.8% 100%  
3 97% 99.2% Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 8% 100%  
3 91% 92% Median
4 1.2% 1.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 92% 99.9% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 15% 100%  
2 85% 85% Median
3 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 39% 100%  
2 61% 61% Median
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100% Last Result
1 83% 83% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 99.1% 99.1% Median
2 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 37% 100% Last Result
1 63% 63% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 3 3 3–4 2–4
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–4
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 3 0% 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–1 0–1
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.8% 100%  
3 97% 99.2% Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 5% 100%  
3 66% 95%  
4 29% 29% Median
5 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 8% 100%  
3 91% 92% Median
4 1.2% 1.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 15% 100%  
2 85% 85% Median
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations