Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 17–23 June 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 18.8% | 17.3–20.4% | 16.8–20.9% | 16.5–21.3% | 15.8–22.1% |
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0.0% | 18.4% | 16.9–20.0% | 16.5–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0.0% | 13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.5–15.0% | 11.2–15.3% | 10.6–16.1% |
| Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.3–11.4% | 8.0–11.7% | 7.5–12.4% |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0.0% | 9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 6.9–11.6% |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.7% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.2–7.8% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 5.4% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.1–6.5% |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Venstre (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 79% | 99.8% | Median |
| 4 | 20% | 20% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 99.8% | Median |
| 4 | 13% | 13% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 92% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 8% | 8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 55% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 45% | 45% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 91% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 9% | 9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.2% | 99.2% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 82% | 82% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 35% | 35% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 79% | 99.8% | Median |
| 4 | 20% | 20% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 99.8% | Median |
| 4 | 13% | 13% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 8% | 100% | |
| 3 | 58% | 92% | Median |
| 4 | 34% | 34% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 91% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 9% | 9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 35% | 35% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 17–23 June 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1007
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.83%