Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 19–25 August 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 22.2% 20.6–24.0% 20.1–24.5% 19.7–24.9% 19.0–25.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 15.2% 13.9–16.8% 13.5–17.2% 13.1–17.6% 12.5–18.4%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.2–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.2–11.3% 8.0–11.7% 7.5–12.3%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.2% 7.9–11.6% 7.4–12.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.7–10.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 6% 100%  
4 87% 94% Median
5 7% 7%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 38% 100%  
3 62% 62% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 10% 100%  
2 90% 90% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 49% 100%  
2 51% 51% Median
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 57% 100% Median
2 43% 43%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.6% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 93% 93% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 41%  
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 17% 17%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 3 0% 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 6% 100%  
4 87% 94% Median
5 7% 7%  
6 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 24% 99.8%  
3 66% 76% Median
4 10% 10%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 38% 100%  
3 62% 62% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 57% 100% Median
2 43% 43%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 17% 17%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations