Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 26 August–1 September 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0.0% | 21.7% | 20.1–23.4% | 19.6–23.9% | 19.3–24.4% | 18.5–25.2% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0.0% | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.6–14.8% |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0.0% | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.8–11.4% | 7.3–12.0% |
| Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–11.0% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 7.4% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 6.0–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0.0% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.3–8.5% | 4.9–9.0% |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0.0% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.8% |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.2–6.6% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Venstre (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 93% | 95% | Median |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 74% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 26% | 26% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 96% | 97% | Median |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 76% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 24% | 24% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 70% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 30% | 30% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.7% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.8% | 99.0% | Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 92% | 92% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 80% | 80% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 46% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 54% | 54% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 93% | 95% | Median |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 12% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 74% | 88% | Median |
| 4 | 14% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 74% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 26% | 26% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 76% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 24% | 24% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.7% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 46% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 54% | 54% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26 August–1 September 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1009
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.18%