Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 2–8 September 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 20.3% 18.8–22.0% 18.3–22.5% 17.9–22.9% 17.2–23.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 15.8% 14.4–17.3% 14.0–17.8% 13.6–18.1% 13.0–18.9%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.1–14.1% 9.6–14.8%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 10.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.8–12.6% 8.2–13.2%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 10.4% 9.3–11.7% 8.9–12.1% 8.7–12.5% 8.1–13.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.7% 5.8–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.3–8.5% 4.9–9.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.3–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.4%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 5.4% 4.5–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.1–6.9% 3.8–7.5%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 4.4% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 2.9–6.3%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 43% 100%  
4 57% 57% Median
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 46% 100%  
3 54% 54% Median
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 95% 97% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 26% 100%  
2 74% 74% Median
3 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 88% 88% Median
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.7% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100% Last Result
1 81% 81% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 76% 100% Last Result, Median
1 24% 24%  
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 75% 100% Last Result, Median
1 25% 25%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–4 2–4 2–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 43% 100%  
4 57% 57% Median
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 16% 99.7%  
3 75% 84% Median
4 9% 9%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 46% 100%  
3 54% 54% Median
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 26% 100%  
2 74% 74% Median
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.7% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 75% 100% Last Result, Median
1 25% 25%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations