Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 4–10 September 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 18.9% 17.6–20.3% 17.3–20.6% 16.9–21.0% 16.4–21.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 15.9% 14.7–17.2% 14.4–17.5% 14.1–17.8% 13.5–18.5%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 13.2% 12.1–14.4% 11.8–14.8% 11.6–15.1% 11.1–15.7%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 9.7% 8.7–10.7% 8.5–11.1% 8.3–11.3% 7.8–11.8%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 8.6% 7.7–9.6% 7.5–9.9% 7.3–10.1% 6.9–10.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.9% 7.1–8.9% 6.8–9.2% 6.6–9.4% 6.2–9.9%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 6.4% 5.7–7.3% 5.4–7.6% 5.3–7.8% 4.9–8.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.3–7.0% 5.1–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.6–7.8%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 5.3% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.3–6.6% 4.0–7.0%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 4.2% 3.6–5.0% 3.4–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.0–5.8%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.6%
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 46% 100%  
4 54% 54% Median
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 8% 100%  
3 92% 92% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 93% 100% Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 60% 100% Median
2 40% 40%  
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 94% 100% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 99.7% Median
2 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.2% 100% Last Result
1 98.8% 98.8% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 91% 91% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–4
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 46% 100%  
4 54% 54% Median
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 8% 100%  
3 92% 92% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.2% 100%  
2 60% 98.8% Median
3 37% 39%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 94% 100% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 99.7% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations