Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 9–15 September 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0.0% | 19.1% | 17.6–20.8% | 17.2–21.3% | 16.8–21.7% | 16.1–22.5% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 16.9% | 15.5–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.1–20.2% |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0.0% | 13.0% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 11.0–15.2% | 10.4–15.9% |
| Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.2–11.3% | 8.0–11.7% | 7.5–12.3% |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0.0% | 9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.2% | 7.9–11.6% | 7.4–12.2% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0.0% | 5.8% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–8.0% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.7% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.8% |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–2.8% | 1.0–3.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Venstre (RE) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 62% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 38% | 38% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 91% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 7% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 85% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 15% | 15% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 50% | 100% | |
| 2 | 50% | 50% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 61% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 39% | 39% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 83% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 17% | 17% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 85% | 85% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 55% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 45% | 45% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 88% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 12% | 12% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 91% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 7% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 62% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 38% | 38% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 31% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 47% | 69% | Median |
| 4 | 21% | 21% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 61% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 39% | 39% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 83% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 17% | 17% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 88% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 12% | 12% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 9–15 September 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.89%