Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 7–13 October 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 20.1% 18.5–21.8% 18.1–22.3% 17.7–22.7% 17.0–23.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 15.8% 14.4–17.4% 14.0–17.8% 13.7–18.2% 13.0–19.0%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 13.4% 12.1–14.9% 11.8–15.3% 11.5–15.7% 10.9–16.4%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 9.9% 8.7–11.2% 8.4–11.5% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.5%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 9.8% 8.6–11.1% 8.3–11.4% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 23% 100%  
4 77% 77% Median
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 25% 100%  
3 74% 75% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 49% 100%  
3 51% 51% Median
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 32% 100%  
2 68% 68% Median
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 60% 100% Median
2 40% 40%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 46% 46%  
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 21% 21%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 2 0% 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–4
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 23% 100%  
4 77% 77% Median
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 25% 100%  
3 74% 75% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 13% 100%  
2 63% 87% Median
3 23% 24%  
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 60% 100% Median
2 40% 40%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 46% 46%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations