Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 21–27 October 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 20.8% 19.2–22.5% 18.8–23.0% 18.4–23.4% 17.6–24.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 15.4% 14.0–16.9% 13.6–17.4% 13.3–17.8% 12.6–18.5%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.6–15.2% 11.3–15.5% 10.7–16.3%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 12.3% 11.0–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.4–14.5% 9.8–15.2%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.1% 7.7–11.4% 7.2–12.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) 0 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 9% 100%  
4 86% 91% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 13% 100%  
3 86% 87% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 88% 100% Median
3 12% 12%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 95% 99.8% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 56% 100% Median
2 44% 44%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 100% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 54% 54% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.3% 1.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–1 0–1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 9% 100%  
4 86% 91% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 13% 100%  
3 86% 87% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 41% 100%  
3 58% 58% Median
4 0.9% 0.9%  
5 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 56% 100% Median
2 44% 44%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 100% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations