Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 28 October–3 November 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 20.4% 19.0–21.9% 18.6–22.4% 18.3–22.8% 17.6–23.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 16.6% 15.3–18.0% 14.9–18.4% 14.6–18.7% 14.0–19.4%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 12.9% 11.7–14.2% 11.4–14.6% 11.1–14.9% 10.6–15.5%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 10.7% 9.7–11.9% 9.4–12.3% 9.1–12.6% 8.6–13.2%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 10.6% 9.5–11.8% 9.2–12.1% 9.0–12.4% 8.5–13.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.1% 5.3–7.0% 5.1–7.3% 4.9–7.6% 4.5–8.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 5.4% 4.6–6.3% 4.4–6.5% 4.2–6.8% 3.9–7.2%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 4.9% 4.2–5.8% 4.0–6.0% 3.8–6.2% 3.5–6.7%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.4% 3.7–5.2% 3.6–5.5% 3.4–5.7% 3.1–6.1%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.5–4.5% 2.2–4.9%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.4% 2.1–3.6% 2.0–3.8% 1.7–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 100%  
4 87% 87% Median
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 6% 100%  
3 93% 94% Median
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 97% 99.9% Median
3 3% 3%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 9% 100%  
2 90% 91% Median
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 15% 100%  
2 85% 85% Median
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100% Last Result
1 98.6% 98.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100% Last Result
1 66% 66% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 51% 51% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 76% 100% Last Result, Median
1 24% 24%  
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 0.6%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 1–3 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 100%  
4 87% 87% Median
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 6% 100%  
3 93% 94% Median
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 79% 97% Median
3 18% 18%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 15% 100%  
2 85% 85% Median
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100% Last Result
1 98.6% 98.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 51% 51% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations