Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 30 October–6 November 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 19.3% 18.1–20.6% 17.7–21.0% 17.4–21.3% 16.8–21.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 16.0% 14.9–17.3% 14.6–17.6% 14.3–17.9% 13.8–18.5%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 12.8% 11.8–13.9% 11.5–14.3% 11.2–14.6% 10.8–15.1%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 11.1% 10.2–12.2% 9.9–12.5% 9.7–12.8% 9.2–13.3%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 9.5% 8.6–10.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.0% 7.7–11.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.1% 6.3–8.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 6.7% 6.0–7.6% 5.8–7.8% 5.6–8.1% 5.2–8.5%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 5.2% 4.6–6.0% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.8%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 5.2% 4.6–6.0% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.8%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 3.4% 2.9–4.1% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.7%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.2% 1.8–2.8% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 77% 100% Median
4 23% 23%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 10% 100%  
3 90% 90% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 99.1% 100% Median
3 0.8% 0.8%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.4% 100%  
2 98.6% 98.6% Median
3 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 50% 100% Median
2 50% 50%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 99.9% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 84% 84% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 53% 53% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 2 0% 2–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 77% 100% Median
4 23% 23%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 10% 100%  
3 90% 90% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 55% 95% Median
3 39% 39%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.4% 100%  
2 98.6% 98.6% Median
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 53% 53% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations