Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 6–13 November 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 20.9% 19.8–22.1% 19.4–22.4% 19.2–22.7% 18.6–23.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 14.0% 13.1–15.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.6–15.6% 12.1–16.1%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 11.9% 11.0–12.9% 10.8–13.1% 10.5–13.4% 10.2–13.9%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 11.6% 10.7–12.6% 10.5–12.8% 10.3–13.1% 9.9–13.5%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 9.4% 8.6–10.3% 8.4–10.5% 8.2–10.7% 7.8–11.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.9% 7.2–8.7% 7.0–9.0% 6.8–9.2% 6.5–9.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 7.2% 6.5–8.0% 6.3–8.2% 6.2–8.4% 5.9–8.8%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 5.1% 4.5–5.8% 4.4–6.0% 4.2–6.2% 4.0–6.5%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 4.2% 3.7–4.8% 3.5–5.0% 3.4–5.1% 3.2–5.5%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 3.6% 3.1–4.2% 3.0–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.6–4.8%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.2% 1.8–2.7% 1.7–2.8% 1.6–3.0% 1.5–3.2%
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3%
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.1%
Frie Grønne (*) 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 4 4 4 4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Venstre (RE) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.2% 100%  
4 99.4% 99.8% Median
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 89% 100% Median
3 11% 11%  
4 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 99.8% 100% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 99.8% 99.8% Median
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 9% 100%  
2 91% 91% Median
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 94% 94% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 4 4 4 4
Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0 3 0% 3 3 3 3
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 2 0% 2 2 2–3 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 0% 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.2% 100%  
4 99.4% 99.8% Median
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 99.8% 100% Median
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 89% 100% Median
3 11% 11%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 96% 99.9% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 9% 100%  
2 91% 91% Median
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 94% 94% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations