Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 11–17 November 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0.0% | 18.7% | 17.2–20.3% | 16.8–20.8% | 16.4–21.2% | 15.7–22.0% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 17.0% | 15.5–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.1–20.1% |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0.0% | 12.7% | 11.5–14.1% | 11.1–14.5% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.3–15.6% |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0.0% | 10.7% | 9.5–12.0% | 9.2–12.4% | 8.9–12.7% | 8.4–13.4% |
| Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 10.1% | 9.0–11.4% | 8.7–11.8% | 8.4–12.1% | 7.9–12.8% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0.0% | 6.8% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.4% | 5.0–9.0% |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0.0% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.1% |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Venstre (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 81% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 19% | 19% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 92% | 94% | Median |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 96% | 99.8% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 90% | 91% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 46% | 46% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.6% | 99.7% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.6% | 99.6% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 72% | 72% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 38% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 88% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 12% | 12% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 81% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 19% | 19% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 60% | 93% | Median |
| 3 | 31% | 34% | |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 92% | 94% | Median |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 90% | 91% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.6% | 99.6% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 38% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 11–17 November 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1038
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.26%