Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 18–24 November 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 18.5% 17.0–20.2% 16.6–20.6% 16.2–21.0% 15.5–21.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 18.1% 16.6–19.8% 16.2–20.2% 15.9–20.6% 15.2–21.4%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 11.9% 10.7–13.3% 10.3–13.7% 10.0–14.0% 9.5–14.7%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 11.7% 10.5–13.1% 10.1–13.5% 9.8–13.8% 9.3–14.5%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.5%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.4% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 2.9–6.3%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 4.4% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 2.9–6.3%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.7%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–3.9% 1.6–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 70% 100% Median
4 30% 30%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 65% 99.9% Median
4 35% 35%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.8% 100%  
2 95% 99.2% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 95% 98% Median
3 3% 3%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 22% 100%  
2 78% 78% Median
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100% Last Result
1 99.0% 99.0% Median
2 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 21% 21%  
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Last Result, Median
1 27% 27%  
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 0% 2 2 2–3 1–3
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 2 0% 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 65% 99.9% Median
4 35% 35%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 70% 100% Median
4 30% 30%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 95% 98% Median
3 3% 3%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 10% 100%  
2 72% 90% Median
3 18% 18%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100% Last Result
1 99.0% 99.0% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Last Result, Median
1 27% 27%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations