Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 25 November–1 December 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0.0% | 20.2% | 18.6–21.8% | 18.2–22.3% | 17.8–22.7% | 17.1–23.6% |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 17.1% | 15.7–18.7% | 15.3–19.2% | 14.9–19.6% | 14.3–20.3% |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0.0% | 12.6% | 11.3–14.0% | 11.0–14.4% | 10.7–14.8% | 10.1–15.5% |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0.0% | 11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 10.6% | 9.5–12.0% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.9–12.7% | 8.3–13.3% |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.5% |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0.0% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.4–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0.0% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0.0% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.1–5.5% | 2.8–6.0% |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.1% | 1.2–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Liberal Alliance (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Venstre (RE) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Moderaterne (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 23% | 100% | |
| 4 | 77% | 77% | Median |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 95% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 93% | 99.8% | Median |
| 3 | 7% | 7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 13% | 100% | |
| 2 | 87% | 87% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.7% | 98.7% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 66% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 34% | 34% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 9% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 85% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 15% | 15% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Socialdemokraterne (S&D) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
| Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 95% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 23% | 100% | |
| 4 | 77% | 77% | Median |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 62% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 35% | 36% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.7% | 98.7% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 9% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 25 November–1 December 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1017
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.13%