Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 4 November–10 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 19.6% 18.4–21.0% 18.0–21.3% 17.7–21.7% 17.2–22.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 14.4% 13.3–15.6% 13.0–15.9% 12.8–16.2% 12.3–16.8%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 13.4% 12.3–14.6% 12.1–14.9% 11.8–15.2% 11.3–15.7%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 10.4% 9.4–11.4% 9.2–11.7% 9.0–12.0% 8.5–12.5%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 9.6% 8.7–10.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.3–11.2% 7.8–11.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.2% 6.4–8.1% 6.2–8.3% 6.0–8.6% 5.7–9.0%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 6.2% 5.5–7.1% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.5% 4.8–8.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.8%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.0–6.9%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 3.5% 3.0–4.2% 2.8–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.9%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.2% 1.8–2.8% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 36% 100%  
4 64% 64% Median
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 69% 100% Median
3 31% 31%  
4 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 94% 100% Median
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 42% 100%  
2 58% 58% Median
3 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 42% 100%  
2 58% 58% Median
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100% Last Result
1 98.7% 98.7% Median
2 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100% Last Result
1 86% 86% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 2 0% 2–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 36% 100%  
4 64% 64% Median
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 69% 100% Median
3 31% 31%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 6% 100%  
2 45% 94%  
3 49% 49% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 42% 100%  
2 58% 58% Median
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100% Last Result
1 98.7% 98.7% Median
2 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations