Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 4–10 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 19.6% 18.4–20.9% 18.1–21.2% 17.8–21.5% 17.2–22.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 16.8% 15.7–18.0% 15.4–18.4% 15.1–18.7% 14.6–19.2%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 11.9% 11.0–13.0% 10.7–13.3% 10.5–13.5% 10.0–14.1%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 11.8% 10.9–12.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.4–13.4% 9.9–13.9%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 9.7% 8.8–10.6% 8.6–10.9% 8.4–11.2% 8.0–11.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.6% 6.8–8.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–8.9% 6.1–9.4%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 6.8% 6.1–7.6% 5.9–7.9% 5.7–8.1% 5.4–8.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 5.1% 4.5–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.2–6.3% 3.9–6.6%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 3.8% 3.3–4.5% 3.1–4.6% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.2%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 3.7% 3.2–4.3% 3.0–4.5% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–5.0%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.7% 1.4–2.2% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7%
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2%
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.6%
Frie Grønne (*) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Venstre (RE) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 25% 100%  
4 75% 75% Median
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.5% 100%  
3 90% 99.5% Median
4 9% 9%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 98.9% 99.9% Median
3 1.0% 1.0%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.8% 100%  
2 99.1% 99.2% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 62% 100% Median
2 38% 38%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.4% 100% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 99.7% Median
2 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 75% 75% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.3% 1.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.5% 1.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.5% 100%  
3 90% 99.5% Median
4 9% 9%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 25% 100%  
4 75% 75% Median
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 25% 100%  
3 74% 75% Median
4 0.9% 0.9%  
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 97% 99.7% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 62% 100% Median
2 38% 38%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 99.7% Median
2 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.4% 100% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations