Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 9–15 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 20.4% 18.9–22.1% 18.5–22.6% 18.1–23.0% 17.4–23.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 16.1% 14.7–17.6% 14.3–18.1% 14.0–18.5% 13.3–19.2%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 12.2% 11.0–13.6% 10.6–14.0% 10.3–14.4% 9.8–15.1%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 10.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.7–12.5% 8.2–13.2%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 10.3% 9.1–11.6% 8.8–11.9% 8.6–12.3% 8.0–12.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.6% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.1% 6.1–9.3% 5.7–9.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.8% 4.5–8.4%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.2% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.1%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 21% 100%  
4 79% 79% Median
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 10% 100%  
3 89% 90% Median
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.7% 100%  
2 98% 99.3% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 18% 100%  
2 81% 82% Median
3 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 29% 100%  
2 71% 71% Median
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100% Last Result
1 65% 65% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 1–3 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 21% 100%  
4 79% 79% Median
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 10% 100%  
3 89% 90% Median
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 57% 97%  
3 40% 40% Median
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 18% 100%  
2 81% 82% Median
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations