Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 6–12 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 19.2% 17.6–20.8% 17.2–21.3% 16.9–21.7% 16.2–22.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 17.3% 15.9–18.9% 15.5–19.4% 15.1–19.8% 14.5–20.5%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 12.1% 10.9–13.5% 10.6–13.9% 10.3–14.3% 9.7–15.0%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 11.1% 9.9–12.4% 9.6–12.8% 9.3–13.1% 8.8–13.8%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 10.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.8–12.5% 8.2–13.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.3–8.3% 4.9–8.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.3% 5.4–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.8% 4.1–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 4.2% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.2–5.6% 2.9–6.1%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 3.5% 2.8–4.3% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.2%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 65% 100% Median
4 35% 35%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.3% 100%  
3 88% 98.7% Median
4 11% 11%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.5% 100%  
2 96% 98.5% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 92% 93% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 18% 100%  
2 81% 82% Median
3 0.5% 0.5%  
4 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100% Last Result
1 98.5% 98.7% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 53% 53% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Last Result, Median
1 26% 26%  
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 1–3 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 0% 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.3% 100%  
3 88% 98.7% Median
4 11% 11%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 65% 100% Median
4 35% 35%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 54% 96%  
3 42% 42% Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 92% 93% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Last Result, Median
1 26% 26%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations