Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 15–22 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 19.7% 18.5–21.0% 18.1–21.4% 17.8–21.7% 17.3–22.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 15.8% 14.7–17.0% 14.4–17.3% 14.1–17.6% 13.6–18.2%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 11.6% 10.7–12.7% 10.4–13.0% 10.2–13.3% 9.7–13.8%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 11.5% 10.5–12.6% 10.3–12.9% 10.0–13.1% 9.6–13.7%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 8.6% 7.8–9.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.1% 7.0–10.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 6.8% 6.1–7.7% 5.8–7.9% 5.7–8.1% 5.3–8.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.8% 6.1–7.7% 5.8–7.9% 5.7–8.1% 5.3–8.6%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.4%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 4.4% 3.8–5.1% 3.6–5.3% 3.5–5.5% 3.2–5.9%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 2.0–3.0% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.2% 1.6–3.5%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Venstre (RE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 14% 100%  
4 85% 86% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 18% 100%  
3 82% 82% Median
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 98% 98% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.7% 100%  
2 99.1% 99.3% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 83% 100% Median
2 17% 17%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 100% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100% Last Result
1 70% 70% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 40% 40%  
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 14% 100%  
4 85% 86% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 18% 100%  
3 82% 82% Median
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 42% 100% Median
2 52% 58%  
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.7% 100%  
2 99.1% 99.3% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 100% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100% Last Result
1 70% 70% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations