Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 20–26 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 20.4% 18.8–22.1% 18.4–22.6% 18.0–23.0% 17.3–23.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 15.1% 13.7–16.6% 13.3–17.1% 13.0–17.5% 12.4–18.2%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.2–13.6% 9.9–13.9% 9.4–14.6%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 11.7% 10.5–13.1% 10.1–13.5% 9.8–13.8% 9.3–14.5%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 10.1% 9.0–11.4% 8.6–11.8% 8.4–12.1% 7.8–12.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.5% 3.7–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.0–6.5%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 20% 100%  
4 80% 80% Median
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 19% 100%  
3 81% 81% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.6% 100%  
2 97% 99.4% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.9% 100%  
2 97% 99.1% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 28% 100%  
2 72% 72% Median
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.9% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 98.7% 99.3% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 52% 52% Median
2 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 11%  
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 1–3 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–3
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 20% 100%  
4 80% 80% Median
5 0.7% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 19% 100%  
3 81% 81% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 68% 96%  
3 28% 28% Median
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.9% 100%  
2 97% 99.1% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100% Last Result
1 98.7% 99.3% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 11%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations