Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 29 January–4 February 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 23.0% 21.8–24.3% 21.4–24.6% 21.1–24.9% 20.6–25.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 14.4% 13.4–15.5% 13.1–15.8% 12.9–16.0% 12.4–16.6%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 11.4% 10.5–12.4% 10.2–12.7% 10.0–12.9% 9.6–13.4%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 9.6% 8.8–10.5% 8.5–10.8% 8.3–11.0% 8.0–11.5%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 9.2% 8.4–10.1% 8.2–10.4% 8.0–10.6% 7.6–11.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 7.2% 6.5–8.0% 6.3–8.3% 6.1–8.5% 5.8–8.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.6% 5.9–7.4% 5.7–7.6% 5.5–7.8% 5.2–8.2%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 5.4% 4.8–6.1% 4.6–6.3% 4.5–6.5% 4.2–6.9%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.4% 3.8–5.0% 3.7–5.2% 3.5–5.4% 3.3–5.7%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.4–2.4% 1.3–2.5% 1.1–2.7%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.4–2.4% 1.3–2.5% 1.1–2.7%
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.0% 0.3–1.2%
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0.0% 0.4% 0.3–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–1.0%
Frie Grønne (*) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 4 4 4 4–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3 3 3 2–3
Venstre (RE) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 98% 100% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.3% 100%  
3 98.7% 98.7% Median
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 99.9% 99.9% Median
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.1% 100% Median
2 0.9% 0.9%  
3 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 4 4 4 4–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 3 3 3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 3 0% 3 3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Borgernes Parti (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 98% 100% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.3% 100%  
3 98.7% 98.7% Median
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 2% 100%  
3 97% 97% Median
4 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 98% 100% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.1% 100% Median
2 0.9% 0.9%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.6% Median
2 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Borgernes Parti (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations