Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 26 February–4 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 21.9% 20.7–23.2% 20.4–23.6% 20.1–23.9% 19.5–24.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 14.5% 13.5–15.6% 13.2–16.0% 13.0–16.2% 12.5–16.8%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 11.1% 10.2–12.1% 9.9–12.4% 9.7–12.6% 9.3–13.1%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 10.5% 9.6–11.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.2–12.0% 8.8–12.5%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 9.2% 8.4–10.1% 8.1–10.4% 7.9–10.6% 7.5–11.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 7.6% 6.9–8.5% 6.7–8.7% 6.5–8.9% 6.1–9.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.5% 5.8–7.3% 5.6–7.6% 5.5–7.8% 5.1–8.2%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.8%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.4% 3.8–5.1% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.5% 3.3–5.8%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.3% 3.2–5.7%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.2% 1.8–2.7% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.0% 1.5–3.3%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 1.6% 1.3–2.1% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5%
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0.0% 0.4% 0.3–0.7% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.1–1.0%
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%
Frie Grønne (*) 0.0% 0.1% 0.1–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 89% 95% Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 44% 100%  
3 56% 56% Median
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.1% 100%  
2 98.9% 98.9% Median
3 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 6% 100%  
2 94% 94% Median
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 88% 100% Median
2 12% 12%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.4% 100% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 46% 46%  
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 12% 12%  
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 79% 79% Median
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 4 4–5 3–5 3–5
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–4 2–4
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0 3 0% 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Borgernes Parti (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 89% 95% Median
5 6% 6%  
6 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 13% 99.9%  
3 83% 87% Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 44% 100%  
3 56% 56% Median
4 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 6% 100%  
3 93% 94% Median
4 0.5% 0.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 88% 100% Median
2 12% 12%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 46% 46%  
2 0% 0%  

Borgernes Parti (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations