Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 9 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 22.9% 21.6–24.2% 21.3–24.6% 21.0–24.9% 20.4–25.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 14.9% 13.9–16.1% 13.6–16.4% 13.3–16.7% 12.8–17.3%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 11.7% 10.8–12.8% 10.5–13.0% 10.3–13.3% 9.8–13.8%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 10.1% 9.2–11.1% 9.0–11.4% 8.7–11.6% 8.4–12.1%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 7.7% 7.0–8.6% 6.7–8.9% 6.6–9.1% 6.2–9.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.1% 6.4–7.9% 6.1–8.2% 6.0–8.4% 5.6–8.8%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 6.4% 5.7–7.2% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.7% 5.0–8.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 5.7% 5.0–6.5% 4.9–6.7% 4.7–6.9% 4.4–7.3%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.5%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 3.6% 3.1–4.2% 2.9–4.4% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–4.9%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.8%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.5% 1.2–2.0% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 4 4 4–5 4–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 97% 99.9% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 18% 100%  
3 82% 82% Median
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 99.7% 99.8% Median
3 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 41% 100%  
2 59% 59% Median
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.8% Median
2 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 89% 89% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 32% 100% Last Result
1 68% 68% Median
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 4 4 4–5 4–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 97% 99.9% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 18% 100%  
3 82% 82% Median
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 32% 100%  
3 68% 68% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.8% Median
2 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations