Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 24–30 September 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
0.0% |
22.1% |
20.8–23.5% |
20.5–23.9% |
20.1–24.2% |
19.6–24.8% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
14.2% |
13.2–15.4% |
12.9–15.7% |
12.6–16.0% |
12.1–16.6% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
0.0% |
12.3% |
11.3–13.4% |
11.0–13.7% |
10.8–14.0% |
10.3–14.5% |
Venstre (RE) |
0.0% |
10.3% |
9.4–11.4% |
9.1–11.6% |
8.9–11.9% |
8.5–12.4% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) |
0.0% |
9.2% |
8.4–10.2% |
8.1–10.5% |
7.9–10.7% |
7.5–11.2% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0.0% |
8.6% |
7.8–9.6% |
7.5–9.8% |
7.3–10.1% |
7.0–10.5% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.2% |
6.4–8.1% |
6.2–8.4% |
6.1–8.6% |
5.7–9.0% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
0.0% |
5.7% |
5.0–6.5% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–6.9% |
4.3–7.3% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
0.0% |
4.2% |
3.6–4.9% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.3% |
3.1–5.7% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
3.1% |
2.6–3.7% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.4–4.1% |
2.2–4.4% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.7% |
0.9–1.8% |
0.8–1.9% |
0.7–2.1% |
Borgernes Parti (NI) |
0.0% |
0.9% |
0.7–1.3% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.5% |
0.5–1.7% |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.9% |
Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
0.1–0.9% |
Frie Grønne (*) |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
14% |
100% |
|
4 |
77% |
86% |
Median |
5 |
9% |
9% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
62% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
38% |
38% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.5% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
19% |
100% |
|
2 |
81% |
81% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
53% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
47% |
47% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
89% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
11% |
11% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.8% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
63% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
37% |
37% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Borgernes Parti (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kristendemokraterne (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Nye Borgerlige (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Frie Grønne (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
0 |
4 |
0% |
3–4 |
3–5 |
3–5 |
3–5 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) |
0 |
3 |
0% |
3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–4 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
1–3 |
1–3 |
1–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Borgernes Parti (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
14% |
100% |
|
4 |
77% |
86% |
Median |
5 |
9% |
9% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
62% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
38% |
38% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
9% |
100% |
|
3 |
90% |
91% |
Median |
4 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
9% |
100% |
|
2 |
64% |
91% |
Median |
3 |
27% |
27% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
89% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
11% |
11% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
53% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
47% |
47% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
99.8% |
Median |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Borgernes Parti (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): Berlingske
- Fieldwork period: 24–30 September 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1638
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.73%