Opinion Poll by Verian for Berlingske, 24–30 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0.0% 22.1% 20.8–23.5% 20.5–23.9% 20.1–24.2% 19.6–24.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 14.2% 13.2–15.4% 12.9–15.7% 12.6–16.0% 12.1–16.6%
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0.0% 12.3% 11.3–13.4% 11.0–13.7% 10.8–14.0% 10.3–14.5%
Venstre (RE) 0.0% 10.3% 9.4–11.4% 9.1–11.6% 8.9–11.9% 8.5–12.4%
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0.0% 9.2% 8.4–10.2% 8.1–10.5% 7.9–10.7% 7.5–11.2%
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0.0% 8.6% 7.8–9.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.1% 7.0–10.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.2% 6.4–8.1% 6.2–8.4% 6.1–8.6% 5.7–9.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0.0% 5.7% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.3%
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0.0% 4.2% 3.6–4.9% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.7%
Moderaterne (RE) 0.0% 3.1% 2.6–3.7% 2.5–3.9% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.4%
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1%
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%
Frie Grønne (*) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Venstre (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Radikale Venstre (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Moderaterne (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Borgernes Parti (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 14% 100%  
4 77% 86% Median
5 9% 9%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 62% 100% Median
3 38% 38%  
4 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 99.5% 100% Median
3 0.5% 0.5%  
4 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 19% 100%  
2 81% 81% Median
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 53% 100% Median
2 47% 47%  
3 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 89% 100% Median
2 11% 11%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.8% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 91% 91% Median
2 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 63% 100% Last Result, Median
1 37% 37%  
2 0% 0%  

Moderaterne (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Borgernes Parti (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nye Borgerlige (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Frie Grønne (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP) 0 3 0% 3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) 0 2 0% 2–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Borgernes Parti (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 14% 100%  
4 77% 86% Median
5 9% 9%  
6 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 62% 100% Median
3 38% 38%  
4 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance (EPP) – Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) – Kristendemokraterne (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 9% 100%  
3 90% 91% Median
4 0.5% 0.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 9% 100%  
2 64% 91% Median
3 27% 27%  
4 0% 0%  

Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 89% 100% Median
2 11% 11%  
3 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 53% 100% Median
2 47% 47%  
3 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 99.8% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Borgernes Parti (NI) – Nye Borgerlige (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations