Opinion Poll by Epinion for Altinget and DR, 26 September–2 October 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
0.0% |
20.9% |
19.6–22.2% |
19.3–22.6% |
19.0–22.9% |
18.4–23.6% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
12.5% |
11.5–13.6% |
11.2–13.9% |
11.0–14.2% |
10.5–14.8% |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) |
0.0% |
12.0% |
11.0–13.1% |
10.8–13.4% |
10.5–13.7% |
10.1–14.3% |
Liberal Alliance (EPP) |
0.0% |
11.4% |
10.4–12.5% |
10.2–12.8% |
9.9–13.0% |
9.5–13.6% |
Venstre (RE) |
0.0% |
9.1% |
8.2–10.1% |
8.0–10.4% |
7.8–10.6% |
7.4–11.1% |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0.0% |
7.9% |
7.1–8.9% |
6.9–9.1% |
6.7–9.4% |
6.3–9.8% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
7.6% |
6.8–8.5% |
6.6–8.8% |
6.4–9.0% |
6.1–9.5% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) |
0.0% |
6.2% |
5.5–7.0% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.1–7.5% |
4.8–7.9% |
Radikale Venstre (RE) |
0.0% |
4.8% |
4.1–5.5% |
4.0–5.7% |
3.8–5.9% |
3.6–6.3% |
Moderaterne (RE) |
0.0% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.3% |
2.1–3.5% |
2.0–3.6% |
1.8–3.9% |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.4% |
2.0–3.0% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.8–3.3% |
1.6–3.6% |
Borgernes Parti (NI) |
0.0% |
1.4% |
1.1–1.9% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.1% |
0.8–2.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne (S&D) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
4 |
98.9% |
99.3% |
Median |
5 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
4% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.7% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance (EPP) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.6% |
99.7% |
Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre (RE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
56% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
44% |
44% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.5% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre (RE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
48% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
52% |
52% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Moderaterne (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderaterne (RE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Alternativet (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet (Greens/EFA) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Borgernes Parti (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgernes Parti (NI) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D) |
0 |
4 |
0% |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3–4 |
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2 |
2 |
1–2 |
1–3 |
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Socialdemokraterne (S&D)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
4 |
98.9% |
99.3% |
Median |
5 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) – Alternativet (Greens/EFA)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
96% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
4% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti (PfE)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
99.7% |
99.9% |
Median |
3 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre (RE) – Radikale Venstre (RE) – Moderaterne (RE)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
5% |
100% |
|
2 |
94% |
95% |
Median |
3 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Danmarksdemokraterne (ECR)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.5% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne (GUE/NGL)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Epinion
- Commissioner(s): Altinget and DR
- Fieldwork period: 26 September–2 October 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1614
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.20%